State unveils new ‘worst-case’ scenario model for COVID-19 crisis in New Jersey
New Jersey health officials unveiled new moderate and worst-case scenario COVID-19 forecasting models for the state. These are projections based on ongoing trends.
Gov. Phil Murphy and state health officials explained the models at a COVID-19 briefing on Wednesday.
The worst-case scenario could see COVID-19 hospitalizations increase through April and hover around 3,500 from mid-May to mid-June.
"We also assume a level of hospitalizations from the holidays and reopenings that are above what we have seen in the past,” the governor said. “With all that being said, under this scenario, we're in for a long, hot summer. So, please God this is not what we have to live through.”
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Officials did not release a best-case scenario. A potential worst-case scenario presented in December did not materialize.
This all comes as the state announced that more than 1.5 million residents are now fully vaccinated against the virus, or nearly a quarter of the state’s adult population. More than 2.7 million people have gotten at least one dose of the vaccine.