Is less air travel reducing the accuracy of your forecast?

Less flights due to the pandemic could be negatively affecting our weather forecasts.

News 12 Staff

Apr 24, 2020, 7:55 PM

Updated 1,554 days ago

Share:

With many folks afraid to fly amid the coronavirus pandemic and air carriers forced to slash flights, hundreds of planes sit idly on runways around the world as of the writing of this article. 
This has, undoubtedly, canceled numerous vacations, business trips, and visits to family members. But did you know that airplanes are also responsible for collecting weather data as they transport us from point A to point B?
They have been doing so, on and off, for nearly a century. In 1998, the World Meteorological Organization created something called the global Aircraft Meteorological DAta Relay, or AMDAR. The program uses data recorded by aircraft to supplement other meteorological instruments, which helps improve the accuracy of forecasts. As planes usually cruise at or near jet stream-level altitudes, the upper-air data they provide can prove quite useful. On a typical day, more than 700,000 air temperature and wind speed/direction observations are made.
While we do still have readings taken from private and military planes, commercial aircraft clearly outnumbers the both of them combined. As an example, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts recently reported a 65% reduction in reports received in March, with that percentage up to 80% in April. This is likely to have at least a small negative impact on the accuracy of weather forecasts.
The images above show a drastic reduction in European AMDAR coverage between March 2 (top) and March 23 (bottom). Notice the extreme differences over Italy and parts of Eastern Europe. (Figures courtesy of Stewart Taylor, EUMETNET)
But all is not lost. Weather organizations are doing what they can to make up for the lack of data. An increase in the number of weather balloon launches was one of the first ways to account for fewer aircraft readings. There are also several new weather satellites that are able to measure wind speeds in the lower atmosphere. Additionally, many weather companies (especially private ones) are using an array of weather models called ensembles, which rely less on the aircraft data, helping to further mitigate loss of forecast quality.
So for now, experts say to continue to put faith in your forecast!


More from News 12
2:16
Fire at Fair Lawn strip mall destroys multiple businesses, including popular Zadies Bakery

Fire at Fair Lawn strip mall destroys multiple businesses, including popular Zadies Bakery

2:11
Beautiful weekend ahead for New Jersey with sunny skies and warm temperatures

Beautiful weekend ahead for New Jersey with sunny skies and warm temperatures

1:54
Boar’s Head deli meat recalled for potential listeria contamination

Boar’s Head deli meat recalled for potential listeria contamination

0:46
New Jersey to receive more than $72M to help coastal communities prevent flooding

New Jersey to receive more than $72M to help coastal communities prevent flooding

1:43
Officials: Lead found on Keyport beach not ‘urgent risk’ to public health, no need to close beach

Officials: Lead found on Keyport beach not ‘urgent risk’ to public health, no need to close beach

0:44
Jersey Proud: Goya Gives Day collects 100,000 pounds of food donations

Jersey Proud: Goya Gives Day collects 100,000 pounds of food donations

1:01
‘It’s a beautiful sport.’ New pickleball courts open in Howell Township

‘It’s a beautiful sport.’ New pickleball courts open in Howell Township

0:29
Man who pleaded guilty to attacking Jewish men sentenced to 30 years on terror charges

Man who pleaded guilty to attacking Jewish men sentenced to 30 years on terror charges

0:55
EPA completes Phase 1 of Superfund site cleanup at Unimatic Manufacturing site in Fairfield

EPA completes Phase 1 of Superfund site cleanup at Unimatic Manufacturing site in Fairfield

0:20
West New York school named for Sen. Menendez to revert to original name

West New York school named for Sen. Menendez to revert to original name

0:30
Attorney general: NJ state trooper ‘inexcusably crossed the line,’ admits to punching handcuffed woman in the face in 2022

Attorney general: NJ state trooper ‘inexcusably crossed the line,’ admits to punching handcuffed woman in the face in 2022

0:15
East Brunswick police: Bicyclist killed in Route 18 crash

East Brunswick police: Bicyclist killed in Route 18 crash

0:30
No one injured in Kenilworth house fire

No one injured in Kenilworth house fire

1:04
Attorney general releases body camera footage of fatal Hamilton police-involved shooting

Attorney general releases body camera footage of fatal Hamilton police-involved shooting

0:15
Part of Manchester’s Harry Wright Lake closed due to high levels of fecal bacteria

Part of Manchester’s Harry Wright Lake closed due to high levels of fecal bacteria

0:23
2 dead in Maine plane crash after leaving New Jersey airport

2 dead in Maine plane crash after leaving New Jersey airport

0:18
$1 million lottery ticket won from $20 scratch-off at North Wildwood Wawa

$1 million lottery ticket won from $20 scratch-off at North Wildwood Wawa

1:59
Paws & Pals: Felicity now up for adoption at Associated Humane Societies

Paws & Pals: Felicity now up for adoption at Associated Humane Societies

1:17
Gov. Murphy discusses potential Menendez replacement on ‘Ask Gov. Murphy’

Gov. Murphy discusses potential Menendez replacement on ‘Ask Gov. Murphy’

0:40
State, federal lawmakers introduce legislation to shorten funding gap for World Trade Center Health Program

State, federal lawmakers introduce legislation to shorten funding gap for World Trade Center Health Program