Hurricane center increases forecast for number of potential hurricanes

The National Hurricane Center has updated its forecast for the year and says that the number of potential hurricanes has gone up.

News 12 Staff

Aug 20, 2019, 1:59 AM

Updated 1,736 days ago

Share:

The National Hurricane Center has updated its forecast for the year and says that the number of potential hurricanes has gone up.
Despite severe weather across much of the country, the tropics have been quiet so far this year. Both an El Nino, and dust from Africa, have made it hard for hurricanes to develop, according to meteorologists.
“So the dust warming the upper atmosphere actually stabilizes the atmosphere,” says state climatologist Dr. David Robinson. “When you move that dust away, it opens the door for a more favorable development environment.”
Robinson says that an El Nino typically will send wind over Central America and into the Atlantic Basin.
“That doesn’t allow storms to develop as readily,” he says.
Forecasters say that there have been signs that the El Nino is breaking down over the past two weeks. The dust is also forecasted to diminish. They say that adding this to above-average ocean temperatures could lead to more potential hurricanes.
“It’s the ocean temperatures that provide the fuel for these storms, so any change in those could have an influence on the size, strength, and number of storms out there,” says Robinson.
The update to the forecast now calls for 15 named storms, as opposed to 11. Peak hurricane season is about three weeks away.
What does this mean for New Jersey?
"When you have a few extra storms that raises the chance that one of them might make it up here,” Robinson says.
But Robinson says that there is no certainty where or when the next hurricane could develop.


More from News 12
0:33
Monmouth County high school students may have had personal info stolen in data breach

Monmouth County high school students may have had personal info stolen in data breach

1:57
Taste of summer returns to New Jersey with highs in the mid-80s

Taste of summer returns to New Jersey with highs in the mid-80s

2:35
Ocean Grove temporarily allows Sunday morning beach access

Ocean Grove temporarily allows Sunday morning beach access

0:16
Krispy Kreme opening new location at the Jersey Shore

Krispy Kreme opening new location at the Jersey Shore

0:25
Prosecutors: 73-year-old man accused of murdering his wife in their Moorestown apartment

Prosecutors: 73-year-old man accused of murdering his wife in their Moorestown apartment

1:57
Peapack-Gladstone taking new steps to control geese problem

Peapack-Gladstone taking new steps to control geese problem

0:23
NJ Transit police save man from drowning in Hudson River with rescue ring buoys

NJ Transit police save man from drowning in Hudson River with rescue ring buoys

0:20
Prosecutor: Teen killed, another injured in shooting outside Trenton apartment

Prosecutor: Teen killed, another injured in shooting outside Trenton apartment

1:54
Best of New Jersey: A taste of Italy in Monmouth County at Limoncello at Piazza Di Roma

Best of New Jersey: A taste of Italy in Monmouth County at Limoncello at Piazza Di Roma

0:14
Prosecutor: Walk-in Camden hospital patient dies days after being shot

Prosecutor: Walk-in Camden hospital patient dies days after being shot

0:25
PBA: Millburn police officer killed in car crash

PBA: Millburn police officer killed in car crash

1:18
TGI Fridays in Brick Township among 36 across the US permanently closing

TGI Fridays in Brick Township among 36 across the US permanently closing

0:30
Jersey Proud: Hillside HS football team sorts food donations for those in need

Jersey Proud: Hillside HS football team sorts food donations for those in need

2:13
‘It’s our responsibility to tell their story.’ Vietnam Veterans Memorial Wall unveiled in Wayne Township

‘It’s our responsibility to tell their story.’ Vietnam Veterans Memorial Wall unveiled in Wayne Township

2:30
Roselle schools temporarily put on lockdown following reports of gunfire in the area

Roselle schools temporarily put on lockdown following reports of gunfire in the area

0:15
Officials: Single-engine plane crash-lands in Holland Township field

Officials: Single-engine plane crash-lands in Holland Township field

1:51
Officials: Train pulls down wires in Elizabeth, causing some power outages

Officials: Train pulls down wires in Elizabeth, causing some power outages

2:31
Prosecution focuses on Egyptian halal beef deal in Menendez’s bribery trial

Prosecution focuses on Egyptian halal beef deal in Menendez’s bribery trial

2:27
Advocates express concern as badly decomposed dolphin washes up in Long Branch

Advocates express concern as badly decomposed dolphin washes up in Long Branch

1:59
Route 71 bridge in Monmouth County remains closed as Memorial Day weekend approaches

Route 71 bridge in Monmouth County remains closed as Memorial Day weekend approaches