The weather was cooperative this Valentine's Day. The cold was an excuse for cuddles today. It stays quite chilly tonight as the clouds collect. The winds will back off some so wind chills won't be too much of an issue, but cold is still cold with readings in the mid- to upper-teens.

Let's talk about the weekend forecast. Another weekend, another storm. That is the pattern we're in. A lingering cold pool of air over New Jersey will transition this storm's moisture to snow for a few hours on Saturday afternoon.

Expect the first flakes to start to fall around 11 a.m. in western New Jersey and quickly overspread the region through the day. It snows lightly but consistently for a few hours and the snow will collect, generally speaking, between 2-4 inches through central and northern neighborhoods. There will be a few communities in the hillier areas of the state that could see 5 or 6 inches, but that would be elevation-dependent over 900 feet.

Warmer air will slowly make its way into this system later in the day through the evening. Warmer/wetter weather will slowly creep northward turning the snow into sleet and freezing rain. This is going to be an issue, especially in North Jersey where temperatures will remain stuck at or below 32. Ice accrual could be an issue heading into Sunday morning for a few spots. Everything could be encased in ice.

Over time, warmer air both at the surface and aloft will win out and rain will take over. Any snow that accumulates will now get washed away. Localized flooding could be a problem and don't be surprised if around 2-3 p.m. you hear grumbles of thunder and flashes of lightning. Thunderstorms in February are possible. This is because temperatures on Sunday warm to the low- and mid-50s.

This whole system eventually passes, the winds change direction and drag much colder conditions back through the state. Any standing puddles or wet pavement will freeze over Sunday night into Monday morning. When the rain stops on Sunday, it'll be time to venture out and salt and sand the sidewalks.