While the snow chances for the state diminish, the storm will have an impact on the area. The focus won't be the snow, but the cold.
Potentially damaging winds would be the issue for much, if not the entire state. Gusts will frequently be 25 to 30 mph, but higher gusts of 40 to 50 mph, especially at the shore, could be common throughout Sunday.
The punishing cold will remain the main headline on the weather marquee. Morning lows will continue to outdo the previous morning's low. While it doesn't look like we will see any record-low temperatures set, it does get awfully close. You couple the aggressive cold with the wind, and it just feels painful to be outside for any period of time. Especially if you are waiting for mass transit to get you to work.
Today was the sixth consecutive day where the afternoon high did not reach 32 degrees. It was also the sixth straight day that the temperature also did not reach 30 degrees.
While not very common, we are not in uncharted waters with a few days well below average. But I am not seeing much of a break in the coming days. The best chance we have of getting above 32 degrees would be on Tuesday. It's possible, maybe even likely, that the afternoon high peaks to 34 degrees. That would be 10 consecutive days at or below 32 degrees. Not a record, but it's been eight years since we've endured such a stretch.
The weather team will continue to watch the trends with model guidance for any last-minute changes to the track of this weekend's storm. It is very close. A wobble westward of 50 miles would bring a substantial amount of snow back onto the forecasting table.
I don't think this is going to be the case, but the probability, while low, is not zero. Stay tuned.
~Dave