New Jersey sees June-like temperatures in November; tracking possibility of some rain

Record warmth envelops New Jersey today but changes are coming. Will we get some rain?

Dave Curren

Nov 6, 2024, 10:54 AM

Updated 2 hr ago

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Afternoon highs soared to record levels for a second time in a week. Halloween saw thermometers pop to 83. Today, New Jersey also saw a temperature that is more in line with June 19 than Nov. 6.
A weak system passes through the region tonight, which will increase the cloud coverage. Lows will be in the upper-50s to low-60s. Again, nighttime temperatures will be where they should be in the afternoon. Morning clouds will burn off and yield plenty of sunshine for Thursday. Winds will be gusty and from the north. Afternoon highs will be cooler than Wednesday, but still well above average with a high of 77.
The skies will continue to clear out for Thursday night. A reinforced shot of colder air slips in as lows drop to the upper-30s and low-40s. More in touch for this time of year. Friday and Saturday our skies are sun-filled. The air feels a little more autumnal. Highs of 67 on Friday and 58 on Saturday.
The million-dollar question is when will we see some appreciable rain?
Looking at the face value of the computer guidance, a weather system moving toward the region Sunday into Monday from the Rockies will help scoop up tropical moisture from Hurricane Rafael. It won’t be drought-busting, flooding rains of any kind. It will however, end the consecutive dry streak we’ve been plagued with for the past 38 days.
Again, the face value of model guidance suggests that a quarter to a half inch of rain could fall on the parched soils of the Garden State. Forecasting fingers are crossed that the systems merge and the rain heads in our direction. If the systems don’t come together properly, the rain could miss us all together and the dry stretch would continue.