FORECAST:
Today is gorgeous with lots of sunshine and warm high temperatures near 75 degrees. The warmer days are numbered as a front is expected to pass through on Thursday and Friday to drop temperatures for the weekend and next week to the 50s. The front arrives early on Thursday in the form of light and broken rain showers that will be impacting all of the state. Ocean county may take longer to get some rain, probably for the evening. Therefore, coastal communities and southeastern New Jersey may see limited breaks of sun before the rain does arrive for the midday and evening.
The rain is not a problem on Thursday, even though it can be steady at times. The front slows - if not stalls - over the state into Friday morning. A plume of heavier rain moves along the front from the south and can impact New Jersey throughout Friday. This heavy plume of rain can cause flash flooding and several inches of rain. However, if the front stalls just 20 miles east of this configuration, then the heavy plume of rain would hit offshore and not on land. This forecast is a split forecast - a difference between 0.5" and 2" of rain. The best course of action is that eastern counties in New Jersey should lend an eye for forecast changes that could be capable of producing road flooding from heavy rainfall.
The weather turns significantly cooler into the weekend and the next week as the air behind the front comes from Canada. The jet stream dips southward to give more access to the cooler polar air in the northern hemisphere. It is late autumn after all!
FUTURECAST:
TIDES:
FOLIAGE UPDATE (New report every Wednesday):
